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knight_rider

Baabu
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Opinion Poll Results of 12 states.Mid Term Polling of Central Government.Surprising Results.
National Tracker Poll Conducted between October 18th to October 26th in 12 big states(above 17 Lok Sabha seats excluding Kerala)
Over 12,000 respondents were interviewed across the 12 states between October 18th to October 26th
knight_rider

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[Cv26yRDUkAAXphL]
knight_rider

Baabu
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[Cv2_oOIUMAEYpZb]
knight_rider

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National Tracker Poll-Vote Share Projections(If election is held now) NDA-36% UPA+MGB-27% Others(Major Regional Parties)-23%

[Cv3BOP8VMAAqWXs]
knight_rider

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67% of voters overall satisfied with performance of Modi.State wise Approval Rating

[Cv3Cza3UMAAk7rl]
knight_rider

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Reply with quote  #6 

State wise vote shares of political parties

[Cv3DWF7VMAAHEJG]
knight_rider

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Voter Assessment of NDA Government handling of various issues.87% support surgical strikes.Smart cities work rated worst

[Cv3GfyxVYAAHkm_]
knight_rider

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Just 11% think government serious on smart cities,overwhelming majority 53% feel inflation hasnt come down

[Cv3G_JAUMAEE_EA]
knight_rider

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44% of urban voters feel no improvement in condition of roads.High rating of roads and power infra improvement in Rural India
knight_rider

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Surprisingly significant section of Central Government employees unhappy with Government

[Cv3IN_LVMAAcNB6]
knight_rider

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State Wise Seat Share projections(12 states-420 Lok Sabha Seats)

[Cv3I9jJVUAAQ3Ok]
knight_rider

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Reply with quote  #12 

Seat Share projections(420 Seats) NDA-241 UPA(including MGB,Left)-61 Others-118

[Cv3Le60UsAIz9P8]
km_ips

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Reply with quote  #13 
So local parties Are going to play a key role in next elections...

ivi present ve kada. inka 2 yrs 6 months undi next term elections ki ela ayina change avachu..
megasuperfan

DoraBabu
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Reply with quote  #14 
KCR rocks[thumb]
Ramesh59

Soggadu
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Reply with quote  #15 
ma CM kcr rocks [thumb]
imnagfan4ever

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Nag*Msd*Roger
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Reply with quote  #16 
KCR Like a Boss
RockStaar

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Jackie
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Reply with quote  #17 
Kcr [cool]
87% Approval
51% Vote share
16 MP Seats out of 17
JordanBelfort

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Jackie
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Reply with quote  #18 
lack of an alternative valla KCR ki %
yardstick

Sachin Tendulkar
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Reply with quote  #19 
Quote:
Originally Posted by knight_rider
[Cv26yRDUkAAXphL]


Scrap Survey...CBN lekunda survey cheyyatam venukua Modi batch Kutra spashtanga agupistondi...Disgusting
RockStaar

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Jackie
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Reply with quote  #20 
Quote:
Originally Posted by yardstick


Scrap Survey...CBN lekunda survey cheyyatam venukua Modi batch Kutra spashtanga agupistondi...Disgusting
lokesh vaddu annadu kadaa PM ga [rolleyes]
knight_rider

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Reply with quote  #21 
ee madya kontha mandi DB lo annaru, VDPAssociates survey lo thelindi AP lo NDA vodipothundi ani.
ippudemantaru aa mahanubhavulu.
power_kranth001

Doctor Babu
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Reply with quote  #22 
@knightrider

ee survey prakaram modi ni batti aa seats and % aa ap lo.. okavela ippudu tdp seperatega velthey bjp ni vadili.. paristhithenti.. 

jaggu ki manchi % undhiga ap lo.. manchiga seats kuda unnay.. so ee lekkana tdp without alliance ela untundo % survey chesuntey inka clear picture vachundedi..
power_kranth001

Doctor Babu
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Reply with quote  #23 
@knightrider 

inkoka doubt.. vote % lo nda antey tdp plus bjp 45% upa 3% ysrcp 39% annadu.. so total chusthey 87% undhi.. migatha 13% votes share evaridhi ap lo.. cpi cpm ki antha ledu.. mari aa migatha vote % lo others evaru.. any idea?
knight_rider

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Reply with quote  #24 
Quote:
Originally Posted by power_kranth001
@knightrider 

inkoka doubt.. vote % lo nda antey tdp plus bjp 45% upa 3% ysrcp 39% annadu.. so total chusthey 87% undhi.. migatha 13% votes share evaridhi ap lo.. cpi cpm ki antha ledu.. mari aa migatha vote % lo others evaru.. any idea?

no idea boss.
ayinaa ippudu chese surveys valla pedda use emi undadu.
jan lo corporation, municipal elections unnayi konni chotla.
appudu oka idea kli ravachu.
KingKohli

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VD-Chay-SDT-NS
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Reply with quote  #25 
Lokesh will become CM
power_kranth001

Doctor Babu
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Reply with quote  #26 
@knightrider

ok.. chudhaam janlo corporation municipal electionslo telusthundiley..




ramesh_mahesh

Soggadu
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Reply with quote  #27 
October 18-26 Ku inthaku mundu survey Ki vachina change enti ante surgical strikes on terrorists mathrame dani Valla antha impact vachesinda a.plo?Mari telanganalo enduku raledu?

Surgical strikes Valla benefit ayyi unte modi acceptance a.plo chala thakkuva undi...

Electionslo vachina percentage kante ekkuva vachindi nijamga ala jarigithe I will be very happy appudu js,commies alliance 25 seats thechukunna hung authadi...

Aadatha paadathaa vasthayi 25...but in reality tdp punjukuntadi ani aasinchadam athyaase authundi....
ramesh_mahesh

Soggadu
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Reply with quote  #28 
Yeah ee surveyla kante corporation electionslo Oka idea vasthadi....
pokiripandu

Baabu
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Reply with quote  #29 
Quote:
Originally Posted by knight_rider
[Cv26yRDUkAAXphL]





Where is Chandrababu -  ha ha 


pokiripandu

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Reply with quote  #30 
Quote:
Originally Posted by knight_rider

State wise vote shares of political parties

[Cv3DWF7VMAAHEJG]







KCR complete monopoly ..

and 

Looks like YSRCP has a substantial gain compared to 2 years back situation



knight_rider

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Reply with quote  #31 
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokiripandu




Where is Chandrababu?



Jagan fans (JAFFA) gundello.
pokiripandu

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Reply with quote  #32 


Interesting ...  YSRCP vote share increased by 10% in last 2 years .....  


2014 MP elections YSRCP vote share was 29%
pokiripandu

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Reply with quote  #33 


Jagan and TRS fans ki positive survey laa vundi overall 


Jagan ki emaatram political strategy vunna... he should start getting closer with BJP right away


pokiripandu

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Reply with quote  #34 

96m0l3.jpg
ramesh_mahesh

Soggadu
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Reply with quote  #35 
@pokiripandu annai Emi matladuthunnaru nenu thaggindi antunte meeru perigindi antunnaru...

29% raavadam eni asala!okka mp kuda 35% kuda thahgalanattundi...
yardstick

Sachin Tendulkar
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Reply with quote  #36 
AP lo NDA ki yeduru debba ani cheppindi in month of September kada...Surgical strikes ayyaka chesaru and natuarally BJP alliance will have impact on National elections...

Assembly election results veruga vundachu
pokiripandu

Baabu
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Reply with quote  #37 
Quote:
Originally Posted by ramesh_mahesh
@pokiripandu annai Emi matladuthunnaru nenu thaggindi antunte meeru perigindi antunnaru... 29% raavadam eni asala!okka mp kuda 35% kuda thahgalanattundi...





2014 MP elections lo YSRCP vote % 29% . ee survey lo 39% vundi gaa

daani gurinchi antunna.

Also seat projection wise 2014 lo 8 mp seats vasthee survey lo YSRCP ki 10 seats project chesthunnadu


pokiripandu

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Reply with quote  #38 
Quote:
Originally Posted by yardstick
AP lo NDA ki yeduru debba ani cheppindi in month of September kada...Surgical strikes ayyaka chesaru and natuarally BJP alliance will have impact on National elections...

Assembly election results veruga vundachu



AP lo compared to 2 years back (2014 Mp elections) it looks like a  debba for NDA overall both vote % and seat shares wise

Sizeable gain for YSRCP as per the survey
ramesh_mahesh

Soggadu
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Reply with quote  #39 
Pokiripandu garu meeru Emi antunnaru,ysrcpko okka mp seatlo kuda 35% thaggaledu antunte nenu...
pokiripandu

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Reply with quote  #40 
Quote:
Originally Posted by ramesh_mahesh
Pokiripandu garu meeru Emi antunnaru,ysrcpko okka mp seatlo kuda 35% thaggaledu antunte nenu...



2014 Assembly elections lo YSRCP had a even bigger % ..


2014 lok sabha MP elections ee kinda Vote share % vachindi annaru ga

Name of PartyVote Share % Seats won 
Telugu Desam Party (NDA)29.10 15 
Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party28.90 8 
Indian National Congress11.5 0 
Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA)8.50 2 





Main ga 2014 MP elections lo Congress had a sizeable vote share which is wiped off now


EE survey wise:

YSCRP increased vote share by 10% (29 --> 39%) and NDA increased by 7% (38 --> 45%)



ramesh_mahesh

Soggadu
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Reply with quote  #41 
Ehe ysrcpko ekkada 40% thakkuva okka MP seatlo kuda thaggaledu....around 43% vachindi mp segmentslo...aadu aadi pichi lekkalu....

Meeru nijam ani etla anukunnaru...
pokiripandu

Baabu
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Reply with quote  #42 
Quote:
Originally Posted by ramesh_mahesh
Ehe ysrcpko ekkada 40% thakkuva okka MP seatlo kuda thaggaledu....around 43% vachindi mp segmentslo...aadu aadi pichi lekkalu.... Meeru nijam ani etla anukunnaru...


mana kaaki lekkalu saree..


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_Indian_general_election,_2014#Andhra_Pradesh_.2825.29


2014 MP eelctions lo Vote % for YSRCP was 29% and NDA was 38% ani vundi


ramesh_mahesh

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Reply with quote  #43 
Enti naku ee baadha ysrcpki okka MP seat kuda 40% thaggaka pothe average 40% kante ekkuva untadi kani thakkuva enduku untadi....

29% asalu ela vasthadi ani alochinchali kada okka MP seatlo kuda 40 thaggaledu ante...aadu mistake vesuntadu ani cheppina vinatledu,enti dB itla aipoyindi...
knight_rider

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Reply with quote  #44 
Screenshot_9.png 
knight_rider

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Reply with quote  #45 

PARTY         VOTES            VOTE SHARE

NDA          1,38,06,298            48.02

YCP           1,31,31,029            45.67

INC               8,22,614               2.86 

LEFT                58,570                0.20

OTHERS        9,30,920                3.24
pokiripandu

Baabu
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Reply with quote  #46 
Quote:
Originally Posted by knight_rider

PARTY         VOTES            VOTE SHARE

NDA          1,38,06,298            48.02

YCP           1,31,31,029            45.67

INC               8,22,614               2.86 

LEFT                58,570                0.20

OTHERS        9,30,920                3.24





EMi nmbers ivi. 2014 Lok Sabha elecons ve naa  .. share the source link 
knight_rider

Baabu
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Reply with quote  #47 
Screenshot_10.png

Screenshot_11.png 

knight_rider

Baabu
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Reply with quote  #48 
source
http://ceoandhra.nic.in/GE_2014/Return%20of%20Election%20(Form%2021-E)%20-%20PCs%20(Phase%20I%20&%20II).pdf

pokiripandu

Baabu
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Reply with quote  #49 




emoo .. ee data teesukono meeru manual calculations chesi aa pai excel pettinattunaaru

but these manual calculations are prettty error prone

AA wiki lo data ki deeniki assalu match avvatledu 


Let me also check on any other better link which has this 2014 MP votes share % data
pokiripandu

Baabu
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Reply with quote  #50 


Anyway .. Prastuthaaniki aa vote share % pakkana pedithee .. as per survey seats projection wise 2 additional seats for YSCRP and loss for NDA 
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